Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Cougars v Oregon St Beavers

Kickoff: 2026-02-27 20:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Cougars (Local)

Prediction 34.29%2.92fair odd
EV +6.31%
Edge +2.03%
Kelly +3.00%
Growth +0.189%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.49%34.07%34.94%36.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.492.732.683.1040.16%36.62%37.31%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oregon St Beavers (Visit)

Prediction 65.71%1.52fair odd
EV -3.41%
Edge -2.32%
Kelly -7.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.36%65.93%65.06%69.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.431.441.4773.53%70.06%69.44%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Cougars (Local): 34.29%; Oregon St Beavers (Visit): 65.71%. For Houston Cougars (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.92. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.31%.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +6.31%E +2.03%K +3.00%G +0.189%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.64%E -7.82%K -29.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 19:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 31.58%EV +2.53%E +0.848%K +1.27%G +0.032%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.42%EV -9.32%E -6.76%K -24.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-27 19:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 31.58%EV +2.53%E +0.848%K +1.27%G +0.032%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.42%EV -9.32%E -6.76%K -24.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-27 19:58
BetUS🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -0.551%E -0.190%K -0.290%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -9.32%E -6.76%K -24.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-27 19:59
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.27%E -0.795%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -8.01%E -5.72%K -20.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-27 19:56
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.70%E -2.07%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.38%E -3.74%K -12.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 19:59
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.41%E -2.74%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.72%E -3.26%K -10.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-27 20:00
FanDuel🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.11%EV -8.10%E -3.02%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.89%EV -4.72%E -3.26%K -10.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-27 19:59
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.15%E -3.88%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.38%E -3.74%K -12.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-27 19:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.15%E -3.88%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.38%E -3.74%K -12.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-27 19:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.15%E -3.88%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.38%E -3.74%K -12.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-27 19:59
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -12.55%E -4.92%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -3.41%E -2.32%K -7.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-27 19:59
Bally Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -12.55%E -4.92%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -3.41%E -2.32%K -7.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-27 19:59
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -12.55%E -4.92%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -3.41%E -2.32%K -7.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-27 19:59
1xBet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 36.64%EV -14.61%E -5.87%K -9.81%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.36%EV -5.38%E -3.74%K -12.23%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-27 19:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.