Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Cougars v Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns

Kickoff: 2026-03-18 23:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Cougars (Local)

Prediction 46.67%2.14fair odd
EV -0.123%
Edge -0.058%
Kelly -0.108%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.13%46.40%46.95%47.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.941.991.982.1451.55%50.20%50.51%46.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns (Visit)

Prediction 53.33%1.88fair odd
EV -4.54%
Edge -2.54%
Kelly -5.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.15%53.60%53.05%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.761.771.7959.17%56.79%56.50%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Cougars (Local): 46.67%; Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns (Visit): 53.33%. For Houston Cougars (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.143. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.140, with an expected value of -0.123%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -0.123%E -0.058%K -0.108%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -9.87%E -5.84%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-18 20:35
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.32%E -2.11%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.21%E -4.14%K -9.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-18 15:39
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.61%E -3.17%K -7.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-18 18:28
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.61%E -3.17%K -7.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-18 16:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.61%E -3.17%K -7.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-18 17:35
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV -8.52%E -4.35%K -8.88%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.27%EV -4.54%E -2.54%K -5.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-18 20:15
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -8.99%E -4.61%K -9.46%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -7.21%E -4.14%K -9.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-18 17:24
BetRivers🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -9.46%E -4.87%K -10.06%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -5.08%E -2.85%K -6.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-18 17:40
betPARX🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -9.46%E -4.87%K -10.06%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -5.08%E -2.85%K -6.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-18 17:40
Bally Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -9.46%E -4.87%K -10.06%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -5.08%E -2.85%K -6.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-18 17:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.