Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.14
assuming max odds 1.79
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Cougars (Local): 46.67%; Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns (Visit): 53.33%. For Houston Cougars (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.143. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.140, with an expected value of -0.123%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -0.123%E -0.058%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -9.87%E -5.84%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-18 20:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.32%E -2.11%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.21%E -4.14%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-18 15:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.61%E -3.17%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-18 18:28 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.61%E -3.17%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-18 16:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.61%E -3.17%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-18 17:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV -8.52%E -4.35%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.27%EV -4.54%E -2.54%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-18 20:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -8.99%E -4.61%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -7.21%E -4.14%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-18 17:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -9.46%E -4.87%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -5.08%E -2.85%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-18 17:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -9.46%E -4.87%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -5.08%E -2.85%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-18 17:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -9.46%E -4.87%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -5.08%E -2.85%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-18 17:40 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.