The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Houston Cougars v Kansas St Wildcats

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 23:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Cougars (Local)

Prediction 43.25%2.31fair odd
EV +0.336%
Edge +0.145%
Kelly +0.255%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.66%43.07%43.38%44.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.192.152.3247.62%45.61%46.51%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kansas St Wildcats (Visit)

Prediction 56.75%1.76fair odd
EV -4.09%
Edge -2.42%
Kelly -5.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.41%56.93%56.62%59.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.591.641.661.6962.89%61.03%60.24%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Cougars (Local): 43.25%; Kansas St Wildcats (Visit): 56.75%. For Houston Cougars (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.31. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.32, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.336%.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV +0.336%E +0.145%K +0.255%G +0.001%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -9.76%E -6.14%K -16.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 22:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV +0.336%E +0.145%K +0.255%G +0.001%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -9.76%E -6.14%K -16.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 22:44
BetUS🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -0.529%E -0.230%K -0.407%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -9.76%E -6.14%K -16.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 22:45
DraftKings🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -3.12%E -1.39%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -8.06%E -4.98%K -13.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 23:14
MyBookie.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.67%EV -3.12%E -1.39%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -9.20%E -5.75%K -15.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 23:23
FanDuel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.72%E -2.62%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.22%E -3.13%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 23:15
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.02%E -3.26%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.09%E -2.42%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-14 22:20
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.02%E -3.26%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.06%E -4.98%K -13.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 23:15
1xBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -7.45%E -3.48%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -5.79%E -3.49%K -8.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 23:25
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -8.31%E -3.92%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -5.79%E -3.49%K -8.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 20:25
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -8.31%E -3.92%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -5.79%E -3.49%K -8.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 20:25
Bally Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -8.31%E -3.92%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -5.79%E -3.49%K -8.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 20:25
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -9.18%E -4.37%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -4.09%E -2.42%K -5.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 22:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%4.9%2026-03-14 23:25