The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Houston Cougars v Iowa Hawkeyes

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Cougars (Local)

Prediction 50.44%1.98fair odd
EV -3.67%
Edge -1.92%
Kelly -4.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.93%50.55%50.34%51.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.791.841.831.9155.87%54.29%54.64%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Iowa Hawkeyes (Visit)

Prediction 49.56%2.02fair odd
EV -3.35%
Edge -1.72%
Kelly -3.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.41%49.45%49.66%51.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.881.881.9554.64%53.30%53.19%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Cougars (Local): 50.44%; Iowa Hawkeyes (Visit): 49.56%. For Iowa Hawkeyes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.02. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.95, with an expected value of -3.35%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -3.67%E -1.92%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -9.30%E -5.08%K -11.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 13:39
FanDuel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.76%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.82%E -3.63%K -7.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 15:05
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.68%E -3.04%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.32%E -3.91%K -8.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 02:19
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.69%E -3.62%K -7.87%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.31%E -4.49%K -9.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 16:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.69%E -3.62%K -7.87%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.31%E -4.49%K -9.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 16:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.69%E -3.62%K -7.87%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.31%E -4.49%K -9.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 16:45
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.70%E -4.21%K -9.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.35%E -1.72%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 14:09
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.70%E -4.21%K -9.28%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.33%E -2.79%K -5.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 15:35
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.70%E -4.21%K -9.28%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.33%E -2.79%K -5.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 15:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.70%E -4.21%K -9.28%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.33%E -2.79%K -5.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 15:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.70%E -4.21%K -9.28%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.33%E -2.79%K -5.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 15:15
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -7.70%E -4.21%K -9.28%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -6.82%E -3.63%K -7.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 15:30
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -7.70%E -4.21%K -9.28%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -6.82%E -3.63%K -7.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 15:30
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -7.70%E -4.21%K -9.28%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -6.82%E -3.63%K -7.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 15:30
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.70%E -4.21%K -9.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.30%E -5.08%K -11.20%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 15:35
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.55%EV -9.72%E -5.43%K -12.30%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.45%EV -9.30%E -5.08%K -11.20%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-28 17:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.