The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Houston Cougars v Cincinnati Bearcats

Kickoff: 2026-05-03 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Cougars (Local)

Prediction 31.62%3.16fair odd
EV -1.98%
Edge -0.638%
Kelly -0.942%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.49%31.74%31.51%34.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.942.953.1036.36%33.99%33.90%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cincinnati Bearcats (Visit)

Prediction 68.38%1.46fair odd
EV -2.90%
Edge -2.04%
Kelly -6.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.95%68.26%68.49%69.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.381.371.4273.53%72.46%73.26%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Cougars (Local): 31.62%; Cincinnati Bearcats (Visit): 68.38%. For Houston Cougars (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.16. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.10, with an expected value of -1.98%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.98%E -0.638%K -0.942%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.00%E -5.15%K -19.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 17:55
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.14%E -1.71%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.64%E -4.08%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 17:50
DraftKings🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.14%E -1.71%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.32%E -4.61%K -17.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 00:30
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.14%E -1.71%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.00%E -5.15%K -19.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 01:20
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.14%E -1.71%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.00%E -5.15%K -19.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 17:50
1xBet🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.34%EV -5.77%E -1.94%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.66%EV -7.00%E -5.15%K -19.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 17:30
Caesars🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -6.72%E -2.28%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -2.90%E -2.04%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 15:35
BetRivers🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -6.72%E -2.28%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -7.00%E -5.15%K -19.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 17:45
betPARX🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -6.72%E -2.28%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -7.00%E -5.15%K -19.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 17:45
Bally Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -6.72%E -2.28%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -7.00%E -5.15%K -19.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 17:40
MyBookie.ag🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 31.79%EV -7.04%E -2.39%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.21%EV -6.32%E -4.61%K -17.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 17:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.57%EV -11.15%E -3.97%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.43%EV -2.90%E -2.04%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 15:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.57%EV -11.15%E -3.97%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.43%EV -2.90%E -2.04%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 15:34
BetUS🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -13.05%E -4.74%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.90%E -2.04%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 15:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.11%4.9%2026-05-03 17:50