Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Cougars v BYU Cougars

Kickoff: 2026-04-09 23:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Cougars (Local)

Prediction 63.76%1.57fair odd
EV -4.35%
Edge -2.90%
Kelly -8.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.28%64.05%63.74%65.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.471.471.5069.93%68.15%68.03%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

BYU Cougars (Visit)

Prediction 36.24%2.76fair odd
EV +0.011%
Edge +0.004%
Kelly +0.006%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.13%35.95%36.26%36.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.602.602.7639.22%38.44%38.46%36.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Cougars (Local): 63.76%; BYU Cougars (Visit): 36.24%. For BYU Cougars (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.7597. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.7600, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.011%.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.87%EV -8.82%E -6.17%K -20.51%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.13%EV +0.011%E +0.004%K +0.006%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-09 22:05
Caesars🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.35%E -2.90%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.97%E -1.50%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-09 11:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.55%EV -7.54%E -5.20%K -16.76%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.45%EV -4.34%E -1.64%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-09 22:23
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.35%E -2.90%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.79%E -2.23%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 02:25
DraftKings🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.63%E -3.80%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.79%E -2.23%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-08 20:40
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.63%E -3.80%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.79%E -2.23%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-08 23:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.63%E -3.80%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.79%E -2.23%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-09 16:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.63%E -3.80%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.79%E -2.23%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-09 16:30
Bovada🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.27%E -4.26%K -13.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.79%E -2.23%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-09 12:13
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.18%E -5.68%K -18.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.79%E -2.23%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-09 14:40
1xBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.61%EV -6.27%E -4.26%K -13.33%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.39%EV -6.87%E -2.67%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-09 23:19
BetUS🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.63%E -3.80%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.60%E -2.98%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-09 15:50
BetRivers🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.54%E -5.20%K -16.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.60%E -2.98%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-09 22:00
betPARX🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.54%E -5.20%K -16.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.60%E -2.98%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-09 22:00
Bally Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.54%E -5.20%K -16.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.60%E -2.98%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-09 22:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.