Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Cougars v Baylor Bears

Kickoff: 2026-03-27 23:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

50%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Cougars (Local)

Prediction 49.79%2.01fair odd

EV -2.92%

Edge -1.50%

Kelly -3.07%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

48.00%49.66%50.00%50.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.801.871.871.9555.56%53.46%53.48%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Baylor Bears (Visit)

Prediction 50.21%1.99fair odd

EV -5.60%

Edge -2.98%

Kelly -6.36%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

49.33%50.34%50.00%52.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.801.861.871.8855.56%53.82%53.48%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Cougars (Local): 49.79%; Baylor Bears (Visit): 50.21%. For Houston Cougars (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.01. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.95, with an expected value of -2.92%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Caesars🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -2.92%E -1.50%K -3.07%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -9.61%E -5.34%K -12.02%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-03-27 18:45
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.91%E -2.57%K -5.39%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.11%E -4.43%K -9.77%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-27 21:55
LowVig.ag🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.91%E -2.57%K -5.39%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.11%E -4.43%K -9.77%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-27 17:39
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.91%E -2.57%K -5.39%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.11%E -4.43%K -9.77%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-27 17:39
FanDuel🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.40%E -3.41%K -7.28%G +0.000%	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.60%E -2.98%K -6.36%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-03-27 22:00
DraftKings🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.90%E -3.69%K -7.93%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.10%E -3.26%K -7.01%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-26 23:19
BetMGM🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.90%E -3.69%K -7.93%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.10%E -3.26%K -7.01%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-27 00:19
Bovada🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.90%E -3.69%K -7.93%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.10%E -3.26%K -7.01%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-27 21:59
theScore Bet🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.90%E -3.69%K -7.93%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.10%E -3.26%K -7.01%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-27 21:55
BetUS🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.90%E -3.69%K -7.93%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.10%E -3.26%K -7.01%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-27 17:44
1xBet🎯	1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -7.40%E -3.98%K -8.60%G +0.000%	1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -5.60%E -2.98%K -6.36%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-27 20:05
BetRivers🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -8.89%E -4.86%K -10.71%G +0.000%	1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -5.60%E -2.98%K -6.36%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-03-27 16:14
betPARX🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -8.89%E -4.86%K -10.71%G +0.000%	1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -5.60%E -2.98%K -6.36%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-03-27 16:14
Bally Bet🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -8.89%E -4.86%K -10.71%G +0.000%	1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -5.60%E -2.98%K -6.36%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-03-27 16:15
Fliff🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 50.41%EV -10.39%E -5.77%K -12.98%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -8.11%E -4.43%K -9.77%G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-03-27 13:34

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%	1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%	5.0%	2026-03-27 23:04