The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Houston Cougars v Arizona St Sun Devils

Kickoff: 2026-05-14 23:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Cougars (Local)

Prediction 31.15%3.21fair odd
EV -1.88%
Edge -0.597%
Kelly -0.874%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.84%31.20%31.19%32.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.003.003.1534.48%33.39%33.33%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arizona St Sun Devils (Visit)

Prediction 68.85%1.45fair odd
EV -3.61%
Edge -2.58%
Kelly -9.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.44%68.80%68.81%70.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.361.361.4075.19%73.27%73.53%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Cougars (Local): 31.15%; Arizona St Sun Devils (Visit): 68.85%. For Houston Cougars (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.21. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.15, with an expected value of -1.88%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -1.88%E -0.597%K -0.874%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -7.74%E -5.78%K -22.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-14 21:20
1xBet🎯3.13I 31.95%NM 30.44%EV -2.50%E -0.800%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.56%EV -5.67%E -4.14%K -15.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-14 23:25
Caesars🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.44%E -1.11%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.99%E -3.61%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 16:03
MyBookie.ag🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.07%EV -5.31%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.93%EV -5.67%E -4.14%K -15.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 18:05
LowVig.ag🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.21%EV -5.93%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -5.67%E -4.14%K -15.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-14 16:05
BetOnline.ag🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.21%EV -5.93%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -5.67%E -4.14%K -15.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-14 16:05
DraftKings🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.67%E -4.14%K -15.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 21:15
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.36%E -4.68%K -17.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 22:29
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.36%E -4.68%K -17.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-14 16:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.36%E -4.68%K -17.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-14 16:05
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.36%E -4.68%K -17.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-14 16:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.36%E -4.68%K -17.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-14 17:44
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-14 21:35
BetUS🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -8.11%E -2.75%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -5.67%E -4.14%K -15.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-14 16:10
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.67%E -3.33%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.61%E -2.58%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 22:10
Bovada🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.67%E -3.33%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.99%E -3.61%K -13.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-14 17:55
BetRivers🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.67%E -3.33%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.36%E -4.68%K -17.67%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-14 20:30
Bally Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.67%E -3.33%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.36%E -4.68%K -17.67%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-14 20:30
betPARX🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.67%E -3.33%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.36%E -4.68%K -17.67%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-14 20:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.00I 100.00%NM 58.16%1.39I 71.94%NM 41.84%71.9%2026-05-14 20:40