The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Houston Cougars v Arizona St Sun Devils

Kickoff: 2026-05-16 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Cougars (Local)

Prediction 32.59%3.07fair odd
EV -1.58%
Edge -0.525%
Kelly -0.784%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.51%32.72%32.56%34.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.852.853.0237.04%35.12%35.09%33.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arizona St Sun Devils (Visit)

Prediction 67.41%1.48fair odd
EV -4.28%
Edge -3.01%
Kelly -10.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.53%67.28%67.44%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.401.401.4273.53%71.56%71.43%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Cougars (Local): 32.59%; Arizona St Sun Devils (Visit): 67.41%. For Houston Cougars (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.07. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.02, with an expected value of -1.58%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.67%EV -1.58%E -0.525%K -0.784%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.33%EV -5.62%E -4.02%K -14.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 14:10
Caesars🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.24%E -0.745%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.62%E -4.02%K -14.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 15:04
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.24%E -0.745%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.97%E -5.05%K -18.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 16:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -3.87%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.97%E -5.05%K -18.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 15:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -3.87%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.97%E -5.05%K -18.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 14:55
MyBookie.ag🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 32.33%EV -5.17%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.67%EV -6.30%E -4.53%K -16.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 10:28
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.49%E -1.89%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.62%E -4.02%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 04:35
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.49%E -1.89%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.62%E -4.02%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 13:00
BetUS🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.47%EV -6.47%E -2.26%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.53%EV -6.97%E -5.05%K -18.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 14:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -7.12%E -2.50%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.97%E -5.05%K -18.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 12:20
Betway🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -7.12%E -2.50%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -8.32%E -6.12%K -23.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 10:34
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.75%E -3.13%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.28%E -3.01%K -10.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 15:05
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.38%E -3.78%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.28%E -3.01%K -10.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 12:04
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.38%E -3.78%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.62%E -4.02%K -14.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 06:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.38%E -3.78%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.62%E -4.02%K -14.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 06:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.38%E -3.78%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.62%E -4.02%K -14.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 06:50
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -12.01%E -4.45%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.28%E -3.01%K -10.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 16:50
Bally Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -12.01%E -4.45%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.28%E -3.01%K -10.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 16:50
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -12.01%E -4.45%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.28%E -3.01%K -10.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 16:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.