Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Holy Cross Crusaders v UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

Kickoff: 2026-05-30 18:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Holy Cross Crusaders (Local)

Prediction 17.32%5.77fair odd
EV +4.12%
Edge +0.685%
Kelly +0.822%
Growth +0.034%

assuming max odds 6.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.94%17.37%17.17%18.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.475.506.0120.00%18.29%18.18%16.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (Visit)

Prediction 82.68%1.21fair odd
EV -4.10%
Edge -3.53%
Kelly -25.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.26%82.63%82.83%84.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.111.131.141.1690.09%88.17%87.72%86.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Holy Cross Crusaders (Local): 17.32%; UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (Visit): 82.68%. For Holy Cross Crusaders (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.77. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.01, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.12%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯6.01I 16.64%NM 15.94%EV +4.12%E +0.685%K +0.822%G +0.034%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.06%EV -5.75%E -5.04%K -41.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 16:09
BetRivers🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -0.388%E -0.068%K -0.082%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -8.23%E -7.41%K -74.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-30 18:00
betPARX🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -0.388%E -0.068%K -0.082%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -8.23%E -7.41%K -74.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-30 18:00
Bally Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -0.388%E -0.068%K -0.082%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -8.23%E -7.41%K -74.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-30 18:00
FanDuel🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -1.25%E -0.220%K -0.267%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -6.58%E -5.82%K -50.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 16:00
Caesars🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.72%E -0.858%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.92%E -4.28%K -32.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 15:50
DraftKings🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.72%E -0.858%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.75%E -5.04%K -41.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 02:00
888sport🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.72%E -0.858%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.75%E -5.04%K -41.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 14:30
888sport (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.72%E -0.858%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.75%E -5.04%K -41.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 14:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.72%E -0.858%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.75%E -5.04%K -41.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 14:29
BetMGM🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.72%E -0.858%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.75%E -5.04%K -41.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 13:20
theScore Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -4.72%E -0.858%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.40%E -6.61%K -61.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-30 15:49
Bovada🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -4.72%E -0.858%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.40%E -6.61%K -61.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-30 04:59
MyBookie.ag🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -6.45%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -5.75%E -5.04%K -41.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 17:50
BetUS🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -9.92%E -1.91%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -5.75%E -5.04%K -41.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-30 15:50
BetOnline.ag🎯5.16I 19.38%NM 18.23%EV -10.61%E -2.06%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.77%EV -4.92%E -4.28%K -32.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 17:40
LowVig.ag🎯5.16I 19.38%NM 18.23%EV -10.61%E -2.06%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.77%EV -4.92%E -4.28%K -32.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 17:40
Pinnacle🎯5.03I 19.88%NM 18.74%EV -12.86%E -2.56%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.26%EV -4.10%E -3.53%K -25.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 14:10
Betway🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -7.40%E -6.61%K -61.69%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-30 13:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig3.95I 25.32%NM 21.47%1.08I 92.59%NM 78.53%17.9%2026-05-30 17:59