The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors v Cal Poly Mustangs

Kickoff: 2026-03-08 04:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors (Local)

Prediction 56.05%1.78fair odd
EV -5.28%
Edge -3.12%
Kelly -7.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.41%56.07%55.99%58.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.671.671.6962.11%59.94%59.88%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cal Poly Mustangs (Visit)

Prediction 43.95%2.28fair odd
EV -1.11%
Edge -0.493%
Kelly -0.888%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.71%43.93%44.01%44.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.152.152.2547.62%46.53%46.51%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors (Local): 56.05%; Cal Poly Mustangs (Visit): 43.95%. For Cal Poly Mustangs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.28. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.25, with an expected value of -1.11%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.28%E -3.12%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 14:34
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -5.28%E -3.12%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -5.94%E -2.78%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 04:09
1xBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.28%E -3.12%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 21:29
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.40%E -3.83%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 20:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.40%E -3.83%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -4.63%E -2.13%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 19:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.40%E -3.83%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -4.63%E -2.13%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 19:39
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.40%E -3.83%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 04:44
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.40%E -3.83%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 21:25
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.40%E -3.83%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 21:24
Bally Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.40%E -3.83%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 21:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -7.52%E -4.56%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -5.07%E -2.35%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 21:49
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -9.76%E -6.06%K -16.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -1.11%E -0.493%K -0.888%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 16:21
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.64I 60.98%NM 56.27%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.73%8.4%2026-03-08 04:15