Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Grand Canyon Antelopes v San Diego St Aztecs

Kickoff: 2026-03-28 01:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Grand Canyon Antelopes (Local)

Prediction 47.43%2.11fair odd
EV -5.15%
Edge -2.57%
Kelly -5.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.95%48.28%47.05%53.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.941.962.0056.50%51.55%51.15%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Diego St Aztecs (Visit)

Prediction 52.57%1.90fair odd
EV +5.15%
Edge +2.57%
Kelly +5.15%
Growth +0.265%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.95%51.72%52.95%53.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.801.772.0057.47%55.66%56.34%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Grand Canyon Antelopes (Local): 47.43%; San Diego St Aztecs (Visit): 52.57%. For San Diego St Aztecs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.90. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.15%.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -16.05%E -9.07%K -20.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV +5.15%E +2.57%K +5.15%G +0.265%6.5%2026-03-27 15:55
BetRivers🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -9.41%E -4.93%K -10.34%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.34%EV -4.84%E -2.68%K -5.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-27 16:09
betPARX🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -9.41%E -4.93%K -10.34%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.34%EV -4.84%E -2.68%K -5.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-27 16:09
Bally Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -9.41%E -4.93%K -10.34%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.34%EV -4.84%E -2.68%K -5.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-27 16:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV -7.04%E -3.59%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.27%EV -5.90%E -3.29%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-27 16:19
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -7.04%E -3.59%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -6.42%E -3.61%K -8.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-27 19:20
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.95%E -3.92%K -9.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-26 23:22
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.95%E -3.92%K -9.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-27 01:25
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.95%E -3.92%K -9.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-27 02:44
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.95%E -3.92%K -9.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-27 07:05
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -7.52%E -3.85%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -8.52%E -4.90%K -11.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-27 19:55
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -9.41%E -4.93%K -10.34%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -8.52%E -4.90%K -11.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-27 16:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 46.88%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.12%8.8%2026-03-28 00:35