Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gonzaga Bulldogs v San Francisco Dons

Kickoff: 2026-05-22 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gonzaga Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 82.43%1.21fair odd
EV -4.38%
Edge -3.78%
Kelly -27.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.67%82.18%82.43%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.131.141.151.1688.50%87.57%87.34%86.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Francisco Dons (Visit)

Prediction 17.57%5.69fair odd
EV +1.04%
Edge +0.180%
Kelly +0.218%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 5.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.67%17.82%17.57%19.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.265.335.7520.83%18.99%18.78%17.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gonzaga Bulldogs (Local): 82.43%; San Francisco Dons (Visit): 17.57%. For San Francisco Dons (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.69. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.04%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -5.21%E -4.53%K -34.71%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +1.04%E +0.180%K +0.218%G +0.002%4.3%2026-05-22 14:40
FanDuel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -6.03%E -5.29%K -43.08%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -5.11%E -0.947%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-22 14:20
BetRivers🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.86%E -6.07%K -52.74%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -5.11%E -0.947%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-22 14:20
betPARX🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.86%E -6.07%K -52.74%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -5.11%E -0.947%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-22 14:20
Bally Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.86%E -6.07%K -52.74%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -5.11%E -0.947%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-22 14:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.21%E -4.53%K -34.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.75%E -1.48%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-22 14:20
theScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -6.86%E -6.07%K -52.74%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -7.75%E -1.48%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-22 14:20
DraftKings🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.38%E -3.78%K -27.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -12.14%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-22 11:00
Bovada🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.21%E -4.53%K -34.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -12.14%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-22 13:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -5.21%E -4.53%K -34.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -15.66%E -3.26%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-22 14:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.15I 86.96%NM 77.67%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%12.0%2026-05-22 15:29