Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets v Virginia Cavaliers

Kickoff: 2026-05-21 15:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (Local)

Prediction 75.77%1.32fair odd
EV -3.78%
Edge -2.97%
Kelly -13.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.34%75.81%75.73%79.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.191.231.241.2784.03%81.08%80.65%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Virginia Cavaliers (Visit)

Prediction 24.23%4.13fair odd
EV +13.16%
Edge +2.82%
Kelly +3.59%
Growth +0.472%

assuming max odds 4.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.44%24.19%24.27%25.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.653.903.874.6727.40%25.66%25.84%21.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (Local): 75.77%; Virginia Cavaliers (Visit): 24.23%. For Virginia Cavaliers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.13. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.67, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.16%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.56%EV -9.08%E -7.57%K -45.39%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.44%EV +13.16%E +2.82%K +3.59%G +0.472%4.7%2026-05-21 14:50
FanDuel🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.81%E -5.53%K -29.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -0.648%E -0.158%K -0.209%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-21 14:40
BetRivers🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%EV -9.84%E -8.27%K -51.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -3.07%E -0.768%K -1.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-21 14:39
betPARX🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%EV -9.84%E -8.27%K -51.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -3.07%E -0.768%K -1.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-21 14:40
Bally Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%EV -9.84%E -8.27%K -51.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -3.07%E -0.768%K -1.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-21 14:40
Caesars🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.53%E -3.60%K -17.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.49%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 14:39
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -6.05%E -4.88%K -25.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -5.49%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 14:40
Bovada🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -6.81%E -5.53%K -29.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -5.49%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-21 14:38
theScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.56%E -6.20%K -34.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -5.49%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-21 14:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.44%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.16%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.56%EV -6.95%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-21 14:38
BetOnline.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.44%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.16%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.56%EV -6.95%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-21 14:40
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.13%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-21 13:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.13%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-21 13:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.13%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-21 13:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.05%E -4.88%K -25.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -9.13%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-21 14:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -6.81%E -5.53%K -29.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -9.13%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-21 14:49
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.78%E -2.97%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -10.34%E -2.79%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 04:29
BetUS🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -4.53%E -3.60%K -17.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -11.55%E -3.16%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-21 14:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 78.81%3.72I 26.88%NM 21.19%26.9%2026-05-21 14:40