Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets v Northwestern Wildcats

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (Local)

Prediction 75.97%1.32fair odd
EV -5.04%
Edge -4.03%
Kelly -20.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.11%76.19%75.97%77.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.231.231.2582.64%81.01%81.30%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Northwestern Wildcats (Visit)

Prediction 24.03%4.16fair odd
EV +2.14%
Edge +0.503%
Kelly +0.658%
Growth +0.014%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.16%23.81%24.03%25.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.523.823.754.2528.41%26.15%26.67%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (Local): 75.97%; Northwestern Wildcats (Visit): 24.03%. For Northwestern Wildcats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.16. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.14%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -8.08%E -6.68%K -38.47%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV +2.14%E +0.503%K +0.658%G +0.014%6.2%2026-02-28 18:14
FanDuel🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.56%E -5.33%K -28.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -3.87%E -0.967%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 17:39
Bovada🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -6.56%E -5.33%K -28.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 18:16
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.04%E -4.03%K -20.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.88%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 18:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.04%E -4.03%K -20.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.88%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 18:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.04%E -4.03%K -20.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.88%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 18:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.80%E -4.68%K -24.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -9.88%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 17:59
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.32%E -6.00%K -33.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.88%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 17:39
1xBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.11%EV -6.56%E -5.33%K -28.52%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 25.89%EV -15.40%E -4.38%K -6.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 18:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.