Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets v North Carolina Tar Heels

Kickoff: 2026-05-24 16:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (Local)

Prediction 58.99%1.70fair odd
EV -3.85%
Edge -2.36%
Kelly -6.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.03%59.10%58.90%61.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.581.581.6365.36%63.14%63.49%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

North Carolina Tar Heels (Visit)

Prediction 41.01%2.44fair odd
EV +0.475%
Edge +0.194%
Kelly +0.327%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.44%40.90%41.10%41.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.242.302.252.4544.64%43.54%44.44%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (Local): 58.99%; North Carolina Tar Heels (Visit): 41.01%. For North Carolina Tar Heels (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.44. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.475%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -9.75%E -6.37%K -18.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV +0.475%E +0.194%K +0.327%G +0.002%6.2%2026-05-24 15:10
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.21%E -3.90%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -1.58%E -0.657%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 15:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -7.98%E -5.11%K -14.24%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -1.99%E -0.831%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 16:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -7.98%E -5.11%K -14.24%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -1.99%E -0.831%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 16:00
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -6.21%E -3.90%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -4.86%E -2.09%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 14:50
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.63%EV -3.85%E -2.36%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.37%EV -5.27%E -2.28%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 15:10
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.03%E -3.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.68%E -2.47%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 15:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.21%E -3.90%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.68%E -2.47%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 15:00
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.44%E -2.74%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.73%E -3.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 15:59
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.03%E -3.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.73%E -3.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 14:59
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.39%E -4.70%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.73%E -3.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 12:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.39%E -4.70%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.73%E -3.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 12:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.39%E -4.70%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.73%E -3.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 12:50
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.39%E -4.70%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.73%E -3.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 15:59
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.39%E -4.70%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.73%E -3.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 16:00
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.39%E -4.70%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.73%E -3.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 16:00
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -4.44%E -2.74%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -8.14%E -3.63%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 14:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.64%EV -6.80%E -4.30%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.36%EV -8.14%E -3.63%K -6.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 15:08
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%4.6%2026-05-24 15:50