Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets v Mercer Bears

Kickoff: 2026-05-12 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (Local)

Prediction 77.09%1.30fair odd
EV -4.41%
Edge -3.56%
Kelly -18.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.45%77.41%77.20%80.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.221.221.2484.75%82.25%81.97%80.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mercer Bears (Visit)

Prediction 22.91%4.36fair odd
EV +14.55%
Edge +2.91%
Kelly +3.64%
Growth +0.529%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.09%22.59%22.80%24.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.104.005.0026.67%24.39%25.00%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (Local): 77.09%; Mercer Bears (Visit): 22.91%. For Mercer Bears (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.36. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +14.55%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -9.03%E -7.66%K -50.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +14.55%E +2.91%K +3.64%G +0.529%4.7%2026-05-12 16:25
BetMGM🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +0.805%E +0.183%K +0.237%G +0.002%6.1%2026-05-12 18:25
FanDuel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.95%E -4.88%K -27.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.78%E -0.899%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 16:15
1xBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.91%EV -4.41%E -3.56%K -18.37%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.09%EV -5.38%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-12 01:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.20%EV -5.95%E -4.88%K -27.05%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 22.80%EV -5.38%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 16:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.20%EV -5.95%E -4.88%K -27.05%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 22.80%EV -5.38%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 16:25
Bally Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -6.07%E -1.48%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-12 15:35
BetRivers🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -6.07%E -1.48%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-12 15:40
betPARX🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -6.07%E -1.48%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-12 15:40
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.41%E -3.56%K -18.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -8.36%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 23:54
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.95%E -4.88%K -27.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.36%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 17:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.95%E -4.88%K -27.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.36%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 17:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.95%E -4.88%K -27.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.36%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 17:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.95%E -4.88%K -27.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.36%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 16:10
Bovada🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.95%E -4.88%K -27.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.36%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 03:09
theScore Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -6.72%E -5.55%K -32.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -8.36%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 17:50
BetUS🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -5.95%E -4.88%K -27.05%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -9.50%E -2.41%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-12 16:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -5.18%E -4.21%K -22.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -10.65%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-12 16:15
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.95%E -4.88%K -27.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -14.09%E -3.76%K -5.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-12 16:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%3.5%2026-05-12 21:15