Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets v Duke Blue Devils

Kickoff: 2026-05-10 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (Local)

Prediction 86.38%1.16fair odd
EV -4.12%
Edge -3.71%
Kelly -37.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.82%86.27%86.44%88.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.071.081.081.1193.46%92.28%92.59%90.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Duke Blue Devils (Visit)

Prediction 13.62%7.34fair odd
EV +8.96%
Edge +1.12%
Kelly +1.28%
Growth +0.115%

assuming max odds 8.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.80%13.73%13.56%16.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.756.947.008.0017.39%14.42%14.29%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (Local): 86.38%; Duke Blue Devils (Visit): 13.62%. For Duke Blue Devils (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.34. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.96%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -7.57%E -7.08%K -108.19%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +8.96%E +1.12%K +1.28%G +0.115%6.0%2026-05-10 15:39
1xBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.35%EV -7.57%E -7.08%K -108.19%G +0.000%7.39I 13.53%NM 12.65%EV +0.651%E +0.088%K +0.102%G +0.001%7.0%2026-05-10 16:40
DraftKings🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.98%E -4.53%K -49.82%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.66%E -0.666%K -0.777%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 04:09
BetMGM🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.85%E -5.36%K -64.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -4.66%E -0.666%K -0.777%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 05:38
888sport🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.71%E -6.21%K -83.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -4.66%E -0.666%K -0.777%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 04:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.71%E -6.21%K -83.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -4.66%E -0.666%K -0.777%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 04:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.71%E -6.21%K -83.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -4.66%E -0.666%K -0.777%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 04:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.71%E -6.21%K -83.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -4.66%E -0.666%K -0.777%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 11:24
Bovada🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.71%E -6.21%K -83.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -4.66%E -0.666%K -0.777%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 10:28
BetRivers🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.57%E -7.08%K -108.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -4.66%E -0.666%K -0.777%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 15:35
Bally Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.57%E -7.08%K -108.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -4.66%E -0.666%K -0.777%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 15:35
betPARX🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.57%E -7.08%K -108.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -4.66%E -0.666%K -0.777%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 15:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.44%EV -5.85%E -5.36%K -64.95%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.56%EV -5.34%E -0.769%K -0.898%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 12:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.44%EV -5.85%E -5.36%K -64.95%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.56%EV -5.34%E -0.769%K -0.898%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 12:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.47%EV -6.71%E -6.21%K -83.87%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.53%EV -6.02%E -0.873%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 15:44
Caesars🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.12%E -3.71%K -37.44%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.07%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 07:15
BetUS🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.83%EV -5.85%E -5.36%K -64.95%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.17%EV -10.11%E -1.53%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 12:24
Betway🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.71%E -6.21%K -83.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -11.47%E -1.76%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 09:14
theScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -4.12%E -3.71%K -37.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -21.69%E -3.77%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 16:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.07I 93.46%NM 88.37%8.13I 12.30%NM 11.63%5.8%2026-05-10 15:39