Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Georgia St Panthers v Appalachian St Mountaineers

Kickoff: 2026-05-15 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

33%

67%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Georgia St Panthers (Local)

Prediction 33.31%3.00fair odd

EV -3.39%

Edge -1.17%

Kelly -1.78%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

32.08%33.16%33.65%37.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.572.812.832.9038.91%35.57%35.40%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Appalachian St Mountaineers (Visit)

Prediction 66.69%1.50fair odd

EV +1.36%

Edge +0.896%

Kelly +2.62%

Growth +0.036%

assuming max odds 1.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

62.84%66.84%66.35%67.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.361.401.401.5273.53%71.17%71.43%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Georgia St Panthers (Local): 33.31%; Appalachian St Mountaineers (Visit): 66.69%. For Appalachian St Mountaineers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.50. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.52, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.36%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
1xBet🎯	2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -14.38%E -5.60%K -9.16%G +0.000%	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV +1.36%E +0.896%K +2.62%G +0.036%	4.7%	2026-05-15 16:50
BetMGM🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.72%E -2.40%K -3.73%G +0.000%	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.64%E -3.24%K -10.79%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-05-15 18:20
theScore Bet🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.72%E -2.40%K -3.73%G +0.000%	1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.31%E -3.74%K -12.63%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-05-15 14:55
DraftKings🎯	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.39%E -1.17%K -1.78%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.64%E -4.74%K -16.60%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-05-15 16:35
Bovada🎯	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.05%E -1.77%K -2.73%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.64%E -4.74%K -16.60%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-05-15 16:33
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.72%E -2.40%K -3.73%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.64%E -4.74%K -16.60%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-05-15 18:25
Betway🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.39%E -3.05%K -4.79%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.64%E -4.74%K -16.60%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-05-15 18:39
BetRivers🎯	2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -4.06%E -1.41%K -2.16%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -9.31%E -6.84%K -25.85%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-05-15 16:45
Bally Bet🎯	2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -4.06%E -1.41%K -2.16%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -9.31%E -6.84%K -25.85%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-05-15 16:45
betPARX🎯	2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -4.06%E -1.41%K -2.16%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -9.31%E -6.84%K -25.85%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-05-15 16:45

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.