Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Georgia St Panthers v Appalachian St Mountaineers

Kickoff: 2026-05-14 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Georgia St Panthers (Local)

Prediction 38.69%2.58fair odd
EV -1.73%
Edge -0.682%
Kelly -1.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.13%38.83%38.77%41.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.402.402.5444.44%41.67%41.67%39.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Appalachian St Mountaineers (Visit)

Prediction 61.31%1.63fair odd
EV -3.74%
Edge -2.38%
Kelly -6.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.90%61.17%61.23%62.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.541.541.5766.67%65.01%64.94%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Georgia St Panthers (Local): 38.69%; Appalachian St Mountaineers (Visit): 61.31%. For Georgia St Panthers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.58. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.54, with an expected value of -1.73%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -1.73%E -0.682%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -8.03%E -5.35%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 17:35
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -3.28%E -1.31%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.81%E -4.48%K -13.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 17:15
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.28%E -1.31%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.03%E -5.35%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-14 17:32
1xBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -4.83%E -1.96%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -4.35%E -2.79%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 17:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.21%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.19%E -4.05%K -11.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-14 17:10
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.35%E -2.79%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 17:10
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.58%E -3.62%K -10.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-14 18:31
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.03%E -5.35%K -16.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-14 17:20
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -12.95%E -5.76%K -10.36%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -3.74%E -2.38%K -6.56%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-14 21:55
Bally Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -12.95%E -5.76%K -10.36%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -3.74%E -2.38%K -6.56%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-14 21:55
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -12.95%E -5.76%K -10.36%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -3.74%E -2.38%K -6.56%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-14 21:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%5.8%2026-05-14 21:25