The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Georgia Southern Eagles v Mercer Bears

Kickoff: 2026-05-06 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Georgia Southern Eagles (Local)

Prediction 25.23%3.96fair odd
EV +0.904%
Edge +0.226%
Kelly +0.301%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.81%25.22%25.25%26.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.713.754.0028.57%26.97%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mercer Bears (Visit)

Prediction 74.77%1.34fair odd
EV -5.04%
Edge -3.97%
Kelly -18.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.38%74.78%74.75%76.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.231.251.251.2781.30%79.71%80.00%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Georgia Southern Eagles (Local): 25.23%; Mercer Bears (Visit): 74.77%. For Georgia Southern Eagles (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.96. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.904%.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.904%E +0.226%K +0.301%G +0.003%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.53%E -5.23%K -26.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 17:09
1xBet🎯3.88I 25.77%NM 24.07%EV -2.12%E -0.547%K -0.737%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.93%EV -8.03%E -6.53%K -34.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 17:00
FanDuel🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -2.88%E -0.748%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.53%E -5.23%K -26.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 16:04
DraftKings🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.14%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.53%E -5.23%K -26.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-06 15:29
Bovada🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -4.14%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -7.28%E -5.87%K -30.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 15:29
BetMGM🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.40%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.04%E -3.97%K -18.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 16:00
theScore Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.53%E -5.23%K -26.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 16:05
BetRivers🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -11.71%E -3.35%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.04%E -3.97%K -18.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-06 17:50
Bally Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -11.71%E -3.35%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.04%E -3.97%K -18.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-06 17:49
betPARX🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -11.71%E -3.35%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.04%E -3.97%K -18.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-06 17:50
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -11.71%E -3.35%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.53%E -5.23%K -26.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-06 16:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.39%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.61%2.3%2026-05-06 21:45