Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.14
assuming max odds 11.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Georgia Bulldogs (Local): 88.49%; Western Carolina Catamounts (Visit): 11.51%. For Western Carolina Catamounts (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.69. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +26.64%.
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -10.63%E -10.52%K -1062.81%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV +26.64%E +2.42%K +2.66%G +0.710% | 8.1% | 2026-03-04 19:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -7.09%E -6.75%K -141.77%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV +6.50%E +0.702%K +0.787%G +0.051% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 16:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.20%E -5.85%K -103.40%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +3.62%E +0.402%K +0.452%G +0.016% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 16:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -7.97%E -7.67%K -199.34%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV +3.62%E +0.402%K +0.452%G +0.016% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 14:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.32%E -4.97%K -75.98%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -2.14%E -0.252%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 16:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.20%E -5.85%K -103.40%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -7.90%E -0.987%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 08:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.20%E -5.85%K -103.40%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -7.90%E -0.987%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 08:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.20%E -5.85%K -103.40%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -7.90%E -0.987%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 08:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -5.32%E -4.97%K -75.98%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -10.77%E -1.39%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-04 13:17 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.66%EV -5.32%E -4.97%K -75.98%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.34%EV -12.50%E -1.64%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-04 14:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.55%E -3.26%K -39.44%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -13.65%E -1.82%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 00:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -7.09%E -6.75%K -141.77%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -13.65%E -1.82%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-04 16:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.94%EV -2.66%E -2.42%K -26.64%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -33.80%E -5.88%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV +0.875%E +0.768%K +6.25%G +0.055% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -42.44%E -8.49%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.