Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Georgia Bulldogs v South Carolina Gamecocks

Kickoff: 2026-03-27 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Georgia Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 79.28%1.26fair odd
EV -4.86%
Edge -4.05%
Kelly -24.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.36%79.27%79.09%80.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.191.191.2086.96%84.35%84.03%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

South Carolina Gamecocks (Visit)

Prediction 20.72%4.83fair odd
EV +1.74%
Edge +0.354%
Kelly +0.444%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 4.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.24%20.73%20.91%22.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.504.504.9124.39%22.21%22.22%20.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Georgia Bulldogs (Local): 79.28%; South Carolina Gamecocks (Visit): 20.72%. For South Carolina Gamecocks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.83. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.91, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.74%.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.76%EV -7.24%E -6.19%K -42.60%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.24%EV +1.74%E +0.354%K +0.444%G +0.008%5.8%2026-03-27 16:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.76%EV -7.24%E -6.19%K -42.60%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.24%EV +1.74%E +0.354%K +0.444%G +0.008%5.8%2026-03-27 16:29
theScore Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -8.83%E -7.68%K -58.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -0.543%E -0.113%K -0.143%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-27 15:59
Caesars🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.86%E -4.05%K -24.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -1.58%E -0.332%K -0.421%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-27 11:19
BetUS🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -7.24%E -6.19%K -42.60%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -2.61%E -0.556%K -0.707%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-27 16:30
1xBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.86%EV -7.24%E -6.19%K -42.60%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.14%EV -3.86%E -0.831%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-27 21:05
FanDuel🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.66%E -4.75%K -29.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -4.69%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 15:49
888sport🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.86%E -4.05%K -24.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 00:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.86%E -4.05%K -24.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 00:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.86%E -4.05%K -24.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 00:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.86%E -4.05%K -24.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 16:02
DraftKings🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.66%E -4.75%K -29.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-26 23:19
BetMGM🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.66%E -4.75%K -29.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-27 15:55
Bovada🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.45%E -5.47%K -35.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-27 01:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -5.66%E -4.75%K -29.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -8.83%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-27 15:59
Fliff🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.75%EV -8.04%E -6.93%K -50.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -10.90%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-27 21:05
Betway🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.27%EV -6.45%E -5.47%K -35.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -11.94%E -2.81%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-27 16:20
BetRivers🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -4.86%E -4.05%K -24.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -15.05%E -3.67%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-27 17:00
betPARX🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -4.86%E -4.05%K -24.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -15.05%E -3.67%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-27 16:59
Bally Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -4.86%E -4.05%K -24.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -15.05%E -3.67%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-27 17:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.19I 84.03%NM 80.00%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.00%5.0%2026-03-27 21:40