Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.20
assuming max odds 5.20
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Georgia Bulldogs (Local): 80.01%; Samford Bulldogs (Visit): 19.99%. For Samford Bulldogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.00. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.95%.
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -7.99%E -6.95%K -53.25%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV +3.95%E +0.759%K +0.940%G +0.037% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.79%E -7.71%K -62.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -0.052%E -0.010%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.79%E -7.71%K -62.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -0.052%E -0.010%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-21 08:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.59%E -4.74%K -31.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.05%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 13:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.59%E -4.74%K -31.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.05%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 02:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -7.19%E -6.20%K -44.93%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -6.05%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 16:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -7.19%E -6.20%K -44.93%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -6.05%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 16:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -7.19%E -6.20%K -44.93%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -6.05%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 16:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.99%E -3.32%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.05%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 12:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.99%E -3.32%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.05%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 12:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.99%E -3.32%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.05%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 12:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.39%E -5.46%K -37.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.05%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-21 16:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.99%E -3.32%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -12.05%E -2.74%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-21 12:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.37%EV -6.39%E -5.46%K -37.58%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 21.63%EV -15.24%E -3.60%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 12:20 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.