Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.65
assuming max odds 2.46
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Georgia Bulldogs (Local): 60.56%; Mississippi St Bulldogs (Visit): 39.44%. For Georgia Bulldogs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.651. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.650, with an expected value of -0.079%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -0.079%E -0.048%K -0.122%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.09%EV -10.47%E -4.61%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-21 15:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -2.50%E -1.55%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -13.23%E -6.01%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-21 16:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -2.50%E -1.55%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -13.23%E -6.01%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-21 16:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -2.50%E -1.55%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -13.23%E -6.01%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-21 16:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.71%E -2.34%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.34%E -2.22%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-21 15:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -3.71%E -2.34%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -9.28%E -4.04%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-21 15:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.53%E -3.54%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.34%E -2.22%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-21 15:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.53%E -3.54%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.34%E -2.22%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-21 16:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.53%E -3.54%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.34%E -2.22%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-21 16:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -7.35%E -4.80%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -2.97%E -1.21%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-21 16:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -7.35%E -4.80%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -2.97%E -1.21%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-21 16:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -7.35%E -4.80%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -2.97%E -1.21%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-21 16:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.35%E -4.80%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.37%E -1.37%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-21 16:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.35%E -4.80%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.13%E -2.57%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-21 16:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.35%E -4.80%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.13%E -2.57%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-21 16:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.35%E -4.80%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.13%E -2.57%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-21 16:49 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65% | 3.4% | 2026-05-21 16:30 |