Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Georgia Bulldogs v LSU Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-05-09 23:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

67%

33%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Georgia Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 66.96%1.49fair odd

EV -2.90%

Edge -2.00%

Kelly -6.45%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

64.20%67.09%66.35%69.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.331.391.401.4575.19%71.73%71.43%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

LSU Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 33.04%3.03fair odd

EV +0.762%

Edge +0.250%

Kelly +0.372%

Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

30.37%32.91%33.65%35.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.602.852.803.0538.46%35.08%35.71%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Georgia Bulldogs (Local): 66.96%; LSU Tigers (Visit): 33.04%. For LSU Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.03. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.762%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
BetRivers🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -10.94%E -8.22%K -33.15%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV +0.762%E +0.250%K +0.372%G +0.003%	8.0%	2026-05-09 22:29
Bally Bet🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -10.94%E -8.22%K -33.15%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV +0.762%E +0.250%K +0.372%G +0.003%	8.0%	2026-05-09 22:29
betPARX🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -10.94%E -8.22%K -33.15%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV +0.762%E +0.250%K +0.372%G +0.003%	8.0%	2026-05-09 22:29
FanDuel🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.59%E -5.50%K -19.98%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -0.890%E -0.297%K -0.445%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-05-09 17:30
DraftKings🎯	1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -8.26%E -6.03%K -22.33%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -0.890%E -0.297%K -0.445%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-05-09 13:09
Bovada🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.93%E -6.57%K -24.81%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -0.890%E -0.297%K -0.445%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-05-09 13:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.93%E -6.57%K -24.81%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -0.890%E -0.297%K -0.445%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-05-09 17:04
BetMGM🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.25%E -4.47%K -15.63%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.19%E -1.45%K -2.21%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-05-09 03:54
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.75%EV -6.25%E -4.47%K -15.63%G +0.000%	2.81I 35.59%NM 33.25%EV -7.17%E -2.55%K -3.96%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-09 20:59
Caesars🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.90%E -2.00%K -6.45%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -7.50%E -2.68%K -4.16%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-05-09 17:19
theScore Bet🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.91%E -3.46%K -11.70%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.50%E -2.68%K -4.16%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-05-09 23:00
1xBet🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 66.19%EV -5.58%E -3.96%K -13.61%G +0.000%	2.76I 36.23%NM 33.81%EV -8.82%E -3.20%K -5.01%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-05-09 22:49
888sport🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.25%E -4.47%K -15.63%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.15%E -3.33%K -5.23%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-05-09 22:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.25%E -4.47%K -15.63%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.15%E -3.33%K -5.23%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-05-09 22:24
888sport (SE)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.25%E -4.47%K -15.63%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.15%E -3.33%K -5.23%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-05-09 22:20
Betway🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.25%E -4.47%K -15.63%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.15%E -3.33%K -5.23%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-05-09 22:59
LowVig.ag🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81%EV -2.90%E -2.00%K -6.45%G +0.000%	2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV -11.79%E -4.42%K -7.06%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-05-09 15:49
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81%EV -2.90%E -2.00%K -6.45%G +0.000%	2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV -11.79%E -4.42%K -7.06%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-05-09 15:50
BetUS🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -2.90%E -2.00%K -6.45%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -14.10%E -5.42%K -8.82%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-05-09 15:49

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%	5.3%	2026-05-09 22:45