Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Georgia Bulldogs v LSU Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-05-08 22:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Georgia Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 66.48%1.50fair odd
EV -4.94%
Edge -3.45%
Kelly -11.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.95%66.72%66.35%68.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.411.401.4372.46%71.16%71.43%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

LSU Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 33.52%2.98fair odd
EV +0.571%
Edge +0.190%
Kelly +0.285%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.82%33.28%33.65%34.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.802.803.0036.36%35.71%35.71%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Georgia Bulldogs (Local): 66.48%; LSU Tigers (Visit): 33.52%. For LSU Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.98. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.571%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +0.571%E +0.190%K +0.285%G +0.002%4.8%2026-05-08 21:59
FanDuel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.78%E -0.959%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 22:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.43%EV -5.60%E -3.95%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.57%EV -5.80%E -2.06%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 21:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.43%EV -5.60%E -3.95%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.57%EV -5.80%E -2.06%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 21:59
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.94%E -3.45%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.13%E -2.19%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 21:59
DraftKings🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.60%E -3.95%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.13%E -2.19%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 21:59
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.60%E -3.95%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.13%E -2.19%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 22:00
Bovada🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.27%E -4.45%K -15.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -6.13%E -2.19%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 21:58
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.13%E -2.19%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 21:58
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -8.26%E -5.99%K -21.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -6.13%E -2.19%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 21:59
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -8.26%E -5.99%K -21.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -6.13%E -2.19%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 21:59
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -8.26%E -5.99%K -21.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -6.13%E -2.19%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 21:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.35%EV -6.27%E -4.45%K -15.29%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -6.80%E -2.45%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 21:58
1xBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.19%EV -6.27%E -4.45%K -15.29%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.81%EV -7.48%E -2.71%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 21:59
BetUS🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.60%E -3.95%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.81%E -2.84%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 21:59
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.81%E -2.84%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 21:59
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.81%E -2.84%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 21:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.81%E -2.84%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 21:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.81%E -2.84%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 21:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%4.3%2026-05-08 21:59