Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Georgia Bulldogs v Liberty Flames

Kickoff: 2026-05-31 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

79%

21%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Georgia Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 79.49%1.26fair odd

EV -0.635%

Edge -0.508%

Kelly -2.54%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

75.25%78.95%79.54%80.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.171.191.191.2585.47%83.86%84.39%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Liberty Flames (Visit)

Prediction 20.51%4.88fair odd

EV +2.54%

Edge +0.508%

Kelly +0.635%

Growth +0.016%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

19.09%21.05%20.46%24.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.804.444.555.0026.32%22.55%21.98%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Georgia Bulldogs (Local): 79.49%; Liberty Flames (Visit): 20.51%. For Liberty Flames (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.88. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.54%.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Caesars🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.20%E -5.25%K -34.44%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +2.54%E +0.508%K +0.635%G +0.016%	4.7%	2026-05-31 20:39
FanDuel🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -6.99%E -5.98%K -41.14%G +0.000%	4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV +0.489%E +0.100%K +0.125%G +0.001%	5.9%	2026-05-31 20:49
LowVig.ag🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 79.79%EV -6.20%E -5.25%K -34.44%G +0.000%	4.66I 21.46%NM 20.21%EV -4.43%E -0.951%K -1.21%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-05-31 20:29
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 79.79%EV -6.20%E -5.25%K -34.44%G +0.000%	4.66I 21.46%NM 20.21%EV -4.43%E -0.951%K -1.21%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-05-31 20:30
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.40%E -4.54%K -28.44%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -5.66%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-05-31 20:50
theScore Bet🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.99%E -5.98%K -41.14%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -5.66%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-05-31 20:49
DraftKings🎯	1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.40%E -4.54%K -28.44%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -7.71%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-05-31 20:49
Betway🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.99%E -5.98%K -41.14%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.71%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-05-31 20:50
BetRivers🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -3.81%E -3.15%K -18.16%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -17.97%E -4.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-05-31 20:00
betPARX🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -3.81%E -3.15%K -18.16%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -17.97%E -4.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-05-31 20:00
Bally Bet🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -3.81%E -3.15%K -18.16%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -17.97%E -4.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-05-31 20:00
BetMGM🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -0.635%E -0.508%K -2.54%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -22.07%E -5.81%K -7.88%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-05-31 20:10

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.