Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Georgia Bulldogs v Florida Gators

Kickoff: 2026-04-10 22:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Georgia Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 60.56%1.65fair odd
EV -1.90%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -3.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.03%60.34%60.87%62.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.561.541.6265.36%64.04%64.94%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Florida Gators (Visit)

Prediction 39.44%2.54fair odd
EV -1.39%
Edge -0.556%
Kelly -0.927%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.97%39.66%39.13%41.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.242.352.382.5044.64%42.50%42.02%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Georgia Bulldogs (Local): 60.56%; Florida Gators (Visit): 39.44%. For Florida Gators (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.54. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.50, with an expected value of -1.39%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.90%E -1.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.28%E -4.03%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 16:35
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -1.90%E -1.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -11.25%E -5.00%K -9.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 21:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -1.90%E -1.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -11.65%E -5.20%K -9.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-10 21:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -1.90%E -1.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -11.65%E -5.20%K -9.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-10 21:55
DraftKings🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.11%E -1.94%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.28%E -4.03%K -7.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-10 16:19
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -3.72%E -2.34%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -9.28%E -4.03%K -7.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-10 16:23
MyBookie.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -4.32%E -2.74%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -10.07%E -4.42%K -7.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 22:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.53%E -3.55%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.33%E -2.22%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 16:40
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.36%EV -6.14%E -3.96%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -6.91%E -2.93%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 17:50
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.50%EV -6.74%E -4.38%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.50%EV -2.97%E -1.21%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-10 16:40
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.35%E -4.80%K -13.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.39%E -0.556%K -0.927%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 18:45
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.35%E -4.80%K -13.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.36%E -1.37%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 05:15
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.35%E -4.80%K -13.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-10 05:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.35%E -4.80%K -13.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-10 05:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.35%E -4.80%K -13.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-10 05:25
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.35%E -4.80%K -13.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-10 16:10
Bally Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.35%E -4.80%K -13.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-10 16:10
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.35%E -4.80%K -13.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-10 16:10
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.35%E -4.80%K -13.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.31%E -3.11%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-10 16:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.49I 67.11%NM 61.89%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.11%8.4%2026-04-10 21:50