Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Georgia Bulldogs v East Tennessee St Buccaneers

Kickoff: 2026-04-14 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Georgia Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 72.51%1.38fair odd
EV -5.01%
Edge -3.82%
Kelly -16.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.40%72.51%72.19%73.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.301.301.3178.13%77.07%76.92%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

East Tennessee St Buccaneers (Visit)

Prediction 27.49%3.64fair odd
EV -1.05%
Edge -0.292%
Kelly -0.405%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.23%27.49%27.81%28.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.383.333.6030.77%29.59%29.99%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Georgia Bulldogs (Local): 72.51%; East Tennessee St Buccaneers (Visit): 27.49%. For East Tennessee St Buccaneers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.64. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.60, with an expected value of -1.05%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.01%E -3.82%K -16.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-14 18:30
1xBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.40%EV -5.01%E -3.82%K -16.15%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.60%EV -10.12%E -3.10%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 18:30
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.46%E -5.00%K -22.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -10.67%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 18:30
FanDuel🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -7.18%E -5.61%K -25.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -1.05%E -0.292%K -0.405%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 18:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.