Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Georgia Bulldogs v Arkansas Razorbacks

Kickoff: 2026-05-24 20:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Georgia Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 59.67%1.68fair odd
EV -3.33%
Edge -2.06%
Kelly -5.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.14%59.72%58.97%61.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.571.571.6265.36%63.73%63.69%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arkansas Razorbacks (Visit)

Prediction 40.33%2.48fair odd
EV -1.20%
Edge -0.489%
Kelly -0.826%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.44%40.28%41.03%41.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.332.302.4544.44%42.87%43.48%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Georgia Bulldogs (Local): 59.67%; Arkansas Razorbacks (Visit): 40.33%. For Arkansas Razorbacks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.48. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.45, with an expected value of -1.20%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.33%E -2.06%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.25%E -3.15%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 20:39
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.33%E -2.06%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.26%E -4.12%K -7.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 20:00
DraftKings🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.52%E -2.83%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.25%E -3.15%K -5.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 20:00
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.31%E -4.02%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.26%E -4.12%K -7.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 20:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.31%E -4.02%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.26%E -4.12%K -7.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 20:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.31%E -4.02%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.26%E -4.12%K -7.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 20:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.31%E -4.02%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.26%E -4.12%K -7.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 20:20
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.91%E -4.43%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.21%E -1.34%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 20:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -8.10%E -5.26%K -15.01%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -2.00%E -0.825%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 20:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -8.10%E -5.26%K -15.01%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -2.00%E -0.825%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 20:40
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -8.10%E -5.26%K -15.01%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -2.00%E -0.825%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 20:40
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.70%E -5.69%K -16.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -1.20%E -0.489%K -0.826%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 20:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.