Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

George Washington Colonials v Georgetown Hoyas

Kickoff: 2026-03-04 19:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

George Washington Colonials (Local)

Prediction 42.18%2.37fair odd
EV +1.24%
Edge +0.515%
Kelly +0.883%
Growth +0.011%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.09%42.01%42.06%45.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.062.212.202.4048.54%45.19%45.45%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Georgetown Hoyas (Visit)

Prediction 57.82%1.73fair odd
EV -0.553%
Edge -0.321%
Kelly -0.768%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.50%57.99%57.94%60.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.631.641.7264.94%61.35%61.16%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: George Washington Colonials (Local): 42.18%; Georgetown Hoyas (Visit): 57.82%. For George Washington Colonials (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.37. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.24%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV +1.24%E +0.515%K +0.883%G +0.011%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -9.80%E -6.28%K -17.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 19:04
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV +1.24%E +0.515%K +0.883%G +0.011%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -10.96%E -7.12%K -20.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-04 19:04
FanDuel🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -4.67%E -2.07%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -6.33%E -3.91%K -10.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 19:05
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.09%E -2.26%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.33%E -3.91%K -10.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 19:05
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.60%E -2.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 18:20
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.91%E -4.29%K -11.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 19:05
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -10.57%E -4.99%K -9.44%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -4.02%E -2.42%K -6.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 16:25
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -10.57%E -4.99%K -9.44%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -4.02%E -2.42%K -6.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 16:25
Bally Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -10.57%E -4.99%K -9.44%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -4.02%E -2.42%K -6.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 16:25
1xBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.50%EV -13.11%E -6.36%K -12.36%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -0.553%E -0.321%K -0.768%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 17:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.