The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Fresno St Bulldogs v UC Davis Aggies

Kickoff: 2026-04-20 22:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fresno St Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 49.23%2.03fair odd
EV -1.54%
Edge -0.770%
Kelly -1.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.95%49.01%49.60%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.901.892.0054.64%52.59%53.05%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UC Davis Aggies (Visit)

Prediction 50.77%1.97fair odd
EV -5.06%
Edge -2.71%
Kelly -5.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%50.99%50.40%53.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.831.841.8756.50%54.57%54.35%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fresno St Bulldogs (Local): 49.23%; UC Davis Aggies (Visit): 50.77%. For Fresno St Bulldogs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.03. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.00, with an expected value of -1.54%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -1.54%E -0.770%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -10.14%E -5.73%K -13.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-20 18:29
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -1.54%E -0.770%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -10.14%E -5.73%K -13.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-20 17:24
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -2.52%E -1.27%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -8.61%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-20 18:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.97%E -3.13%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.09%E -3.88%K -8.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-20 17:33
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.97%E -3.13%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.09%E -3.88%K -8.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-20 16:54
FanDuel🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.46%E -3.40%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.06%E -2.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-20 14:59
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.94%E -4.25%K -9.13%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.06%E -2.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-20 18:25
1xBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.94%E -4.25%K -9.13%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.06%E -2.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-20 18:44
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.92%E -4.82%K -10.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.08%E -3.28%K -7.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-20 20:19
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.92%E -4.82%K -10.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.08%E -3.28%K -7.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-20 20:20
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.92%E -4.82%K -10.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.08%E -3.28%K -7.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-20 20:20
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.91%E -5.41%K -11.94%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.09%E -3.88%K -8.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-20 18:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%2.2%2026-04-20 22:00