Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fresno St Bulldogs v Pepperdine Waves

Kickoff: 2026-02-24 00:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fresno St Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 74.51%1.34fair odd
EV -3.89%
Edge -3.01%
Kelly -13.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.20%74.53%74.43%75.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.251.251.2981.97%79.94%80.00%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pepperdine Waves (Visit)

Prediction 25.49%3.92fair odd
EV -1.85%
Edge -0.479%
Kelly -0.647%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.51%25.47%25.57%27.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.583.503.8529.85%27.97%28.57%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fresno St Bulldogs (Local): 74.51%; Pepperdine Waves (Visit): 25.49%. For Pepperdine Waves (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.92. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.85, with an expected value of -1.85%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetUS🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -3.89%E -3.01%K -13.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -14.59%E -4.36%K -6.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-23 23:59
DraftKings🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.63%E -3.62%K -16.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.22%E -2.28%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-22 22:30
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.38%E -4.23%K -19.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.39%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-23 16:34
Bovada🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.38%E -4.23%K -19.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.22%E -2.28%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-23 21:24
FanDuel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.87%E -5.49%K -27.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -1.85%E -0.479%K -0.647%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-23 17:45
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.87%E -5.49%K -27.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.77%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-23 17:44
1xBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.00%EV -6.87%E -5.49%K -27.47%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.00%EV -13.83%E -4.09%K -5.81%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-23 18:55
theScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -7.61%E -6.14%K -31.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -3.12%E -0.821%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-23 17:45
BetRivers🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.15%EV -9.10%E -7.46%K -41.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -10.77%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-23 17:40
betPARX🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.15%EV -9.10%E -7.46%K -41.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -10.77%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-23 17:39
Bally Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.15%EV -9.10%E -7.46%K -41.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -10.77%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-23 17:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.