The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Florida St Seminoles v Stetson Hatters

Kickoff: 2026-04-14 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida St Seminoles (Local)

Prediction 83.02%1.20fair odd
EV -4.53%
Edge -3.94%
Kelly -30.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.03%83.45%83.02%85.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.131.141.1590.91%88.50%87.72%86.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Stetson Hatters (Visit)

Prediction 16.98%5.89fair odd
EV +12.07%
Edge +1.83%
Kelly +2.16%
Growth +0.260%

assuming max odds 6.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.29%16.55%16.98%17.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.255.615.506.6019.05%17.83%18.18%15.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Florida St Seminoles (Local): 83.02%; Stetson Hatters (Visit): 16.98%. For Stetson Hatters (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.89. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.07%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -8.68%E -7.89%K -86.79%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%EV +12.07%E +1.83%K +2.16%G +0.260%6.1%2026-04-14 19:15
1xBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.63%EV -7.02%E -6.27%K -58.49%G +0.000%5.72I 17.48%NM 16.37%EV -2.87%E -0.502%K -0.608%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 19:05
888sport🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.36%E -4.70%K -38.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.61%E -1.20%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 19:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.36%E -4.70%K -38.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.61%E -1.20%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 20:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.36%E -4.70%K -38.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.61%E -1.20%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 19:39
Betway🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -7.85%E -7.07%K -71.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -6.61%E -1.20%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 19:09
Bovada🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -5.36%E -4.70%K -38.27%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -10.00%E -1.89%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-14 21:03
BetMGM🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.53%E -3.94%K -30.19%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -10.85%E -2.07%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 18:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.00I 100.00%NM 87.48%6.99I 14.31%NM 12.52%14.3%2026-04-14 21:50