Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida St Seminoles v Pittsburgh Panthers

Kickoff: 2026-05-22 21:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

67%

33%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida St Seminoles (Local)

Prediction 66.66%1.50fair odd

EV -4.67%

Edge -3.27%

Kelly -10.87%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

65.69%67.31%66.35%70.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.331.391.401.4375.19%72.20%71.17%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pittsburgh Panthers (Visit)

Prediction 33.34%3.00fair odd

EV +7.35%

Edge +2.28%

Kelly +3.31%

Growth +0.243%

assuming max odds 3.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

29.23%32.69%33.65%34.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.702.942.853.2237.04%34.03%35.09%31.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Florida St Seminoles (Local): 66.66%; Pittsburgh Panthers (Visit): 33.34%. For Pittsburgh Panthers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.00. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.22, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.35%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.77%EV -11.34%E -8.53%K -34.36%G +0.000%	3.22I 31.06%NM 29.23%EV +7.35%E +2.28%K +3.31%G +0.243%	6.2%	2026-05-22 20:01
LowVig.ag🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.77%EV -11.34%E -8.53%K -34.36%G +0.000%	3.22I 31.06%NM 29.23%EV +7.35%E +2.28%K +3.31%G +0.243%	6.2%	2026-05-22 20:00
BetUS🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.11%EV -11.34%E -8.53%K -34.36%G +0.000%	3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV +4.01%E +1.29%K +1.89%G +0.076%	7.2%	2026-05-22 20:09
FanDuel🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.67%E -4.77%K -16.68%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.32%E -1.14%K -1.75%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-05-22 20:29
BetMGM🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.67%E -3.27%K -10.87%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.65%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-05-22 20:09
theScore Bet🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.34%E -3.76%K -12.71%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.65%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-05-22 20:30
DraftKings🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.67%E -3.27%K -10.87%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.32%E -3.03%K -4.75%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-05-22 20:09
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -6.01%E -4.26%K -14.65%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-05-22 20:29

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.