The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Florida St Seminoles v Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Kickoff: 2026-04-18 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida St Seminoles (Local)

Prediction 59.02%1.69fair odd
EV -4.39%
Edge -2.71%
Kelly -7.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.14%59.14%58.97%60.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.581.591.6264.94%63.23%62.89%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Visit)

Prediction 40.98%2.44fair odd
EV -3.69%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -2.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.59%40.86%41.03%41.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.302.302.3544.44%43.56%43.48%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Florida St Seminoles (Local): 59.02%; Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Visit): 40.98%. For Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.44. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.35, with an expected value of -3.69%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 14:54
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 17:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 17:14
DraftKings🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 12:25
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 17:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -6.16%E -3.88%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -4.92%E -2.12%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 14:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -6.16%E -3.88%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -4.92%E -2.12%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 14:04
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.16%E -3.88%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 12:23
BetUS🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.16%E -3.88%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 14:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.81%EV -6.16%E -3.88%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.19%EV -6.97%E -3.07%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 17:54
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.34%E -4.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.69%E -1.57%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 12:39
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -7.34%E -4.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.46%EV -5.33%E -2.31%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 17:10
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.34%E -4.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 13:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.34%E -4.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 13:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.34%E -4.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 13:20
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.34%E -4.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 17:15
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -9.11%E -5.92%K -16.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -3.69%E -1.57%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 17:05
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -9.11%E -5.92%K -16.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -3.69%E -1.57%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 17:05
Bally Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -9.11%E -5.92%K -16.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -3.69%E -1.57%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 17:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%5.2%2026-04-18 17:55