The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Florida St Seminoles v Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Kickoff: 2026-04-17 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida St Seminoles (Local)

Prediction 70.79%1.41fair odd
EV +1.24%
Edge +0.864%
Kelly +2.87%
Growth +0.036%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.79%70.42%70.56%72.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.331.331.4376.92%75.03%75.19%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Visit)

Prediction 29.21%3.42fair odd
EV -0.701%
Edge -0.206%
Kelly -0.292%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.66%29.58%29.44%34.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.173.173.4036.36%31.53%31.50%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Florida St Seminoles (Local): 70.79%; Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Visit): 29.21%. For Florida St Seminoles (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.41. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.43, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.24%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV +1.24%E +0.864%K +2.87%G +0.036%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -19.68%E -7.16%K -11.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-17 15:10
1xBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.18%EV -4.43%E -3.28%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.82%EV -11.51%E -3.80%K -5.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-17 21:45
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.14%E -3.83%K -15.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 17:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.14%E -3.83%K -15.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -8.00%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 17:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.14%E -3.83%K -15.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -8.00%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 17:34
BetUS🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.55%EV -5.14%E -3.83%K -15.10%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.45%EV -10.63%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 17:34
Caesars🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.84%E -4.39%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.701%E -0.206%K -0.292%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-17 17:29
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.84%E -4.39%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 18:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.84%E -4.39%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 18:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.84%E -4.39%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 17:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.25%EV -5.84%E -4.39%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.75%EV -8.29%E -2.64%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 21:49
Bovada🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.55%E -4.96%K -20.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.08%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 17:34
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.55%E -4.96%K -20.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -8.00%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 20:45
Bally Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.55%E -4.96%K -20.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -8.00%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 20:45
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.55%E -4.96%K -20.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -8.00%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 20:45
theScore Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.26%E -5.54%K -23.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -3.62%E -1.10%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 21:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -7.26%E -5.54%K -23.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 17:34
FanDuel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.97%E -6.13%K -26.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -0.701%E -0.206%K -0.292%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-17 16:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.32I 75.76%NM 72.09%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.91%5.1%2026-04-17 21:55