The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Florida St Seminoles v Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Kickoff: 2026-04-19 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida St Seminoles (Local)

Prediction 69.06%1.45fair odd
EV -4.69%
Edge -3.40%
Kelly -12.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.29%69.39%69.08%70.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.351.361.3875.19%73.83%73.53%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Visit)

Prediction 30.94%3.23fair odd
EV +0.544%
Edge +0.167%
Kelly +0.242%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.04%30.61%30.92%31.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.043.003.2533.90%32.91%33.33%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Florida St Seminoles (Local): 69.06%; Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Visit): 30.94%. For Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.23. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.544%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.15%E -6.12%K -24.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +0.544%E +0.167%K +0.242%G +0.001%6.0%2026-04-19 15:00
FanDuel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -7.46%E -5.56%K -21.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -1.00%E -0.313%K -0.456%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 12:15
Caesars🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.69%E -3.40%K -12.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 12:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.15%E -6.12%K -24.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 15:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.68%EV -7.46%E -5.56%K -21.93%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.32%EV -4.72%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 15:43
LowVig.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -5.38%E -3.93%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.21%EV -6.57%E -2.18%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 12:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -5.38%E -3.93%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.21%EV -6.57%E -2.18%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 12:55
DraftKings🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.38%E -3.93%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 22:44
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.07%E -4.47%K -16.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 23:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.07%E -4.47%K -16.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 23:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.07%E -4.47%K -16.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 23:09
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.07%E -4.47%K -16.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 00:04
BetRivers🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.76%E -5.01%K -19.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 14:40
Bally Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.76%E -5.01%K -19.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 14:40
betPARX🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.76%E -5.01%K -19.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 14:40
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.15%E -6.12%K -24.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 12:10
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.66%EV -6.07%E -4.47%K -16.87%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.34%EV -7.81%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 14:00
BetUS🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -5.38%E -3.93%K -14.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -8.74%E -2.96%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 13:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%4.9%2026-04-19 16:55