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Florida St Seminoles v NC State Wolfpack
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Florida St Seminoles (Local)
assuming max odds 1.52
NC State Wolfpack (Visit)
assuming max odds 2.95
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Florida St Seminoles (Local): 64.85%; NC State Wolfpack (Visit): 35.15%. For NC State Wolfpack (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.84. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.70%.
Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -7.92%E -5.58%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV +3.70%E +1.26%K +1.90%G +0.070% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 17:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.37%EV -9.22%E -6.58%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.63%EV +1.59%E +0.552%K +0.844%G +0.013% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 17:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.37%EV -9.22%E -6.58%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.63%EV +1.59%E +0.552%K +0.844%G +0.013% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 17:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -9.22%E -6.58%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -1.57%E -0.560%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 17:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -7.27%E -5.08%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -3.33%E -1.21%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 17:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.97%E -4.12%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.84%E -2.58%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 17:42 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.73%E -1.82%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.60%E -3.31%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 17:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.03%E -2.72%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.60%E -3.31%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 17:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.61%EV -4.68%E -3.18%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.39%EV -9.65%E -3.76%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 17:23 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.73%E -1.82%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -12.12%E -4.85%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 17:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -4.03%E -2.72%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -12.12%E -4.85%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 17:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -1.43%E -0.943%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -14.58%E -6.00%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 17:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -4.03%E -2.72%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -15.63%E -6.51%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-21 17:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.25% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.75% | 1.7% | 2026-03-21 17:39 |