The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Florida St Seminoles v Miami Hurricanes

Kickoff: 2026-05-14 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida St Seminoles (Local)

Prediction 61.90%1.62fair odd
EV -2.19%
Edge -1.39%
Kelly -3.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.40%61.92%62.03%62.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.521.511.5866.67%65.86%66.23%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Miami Hurricanes (Visit)

Prediction 38.10%2.62fair odd
EV -2.86%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -1.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.13%38.08%37.97%39.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.462.452.5542.02%40.64%40.82%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Florida St Seminoles (Local): 61.90%; Miami Hurricanes (Visit): 38.10%. For Florida St Seminoles (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.62. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.58, with an expected value of -2.19%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -2.19%E -1.39%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -8.19%E -3.40%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 18:36
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.86%E -1.12%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 20:59
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 20:05
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 21:15
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 22:15
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.33%E -3.92%K -6.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 10:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.33%E -3.92%K -6.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 10:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.33%E -3.92%K -6.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 10:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -5.91%E -3.89%K -11.36%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -5.52%E -2.23%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-14 20:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.53%E -4.32%K -12.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-14 20:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.53%E -4.32%K -12.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-14 20:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.53%E -4.32%K -12.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-14 20:05
BetUS🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -6.53%E -4.32%K -12.79%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -5.52%E -2.23%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-14 20:05
FanDuel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -7.14%E -4.76%K -14.29%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -3.24%E -1.27%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 20:05
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.14%E -4.76%K -14.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-13 22:38
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.14%E -4.76%K -14.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-14 17:25
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.14%E -4.76%K -14.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-14 17:25
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.14%E -4.76%K -14.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-14 17:25
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.14%E -4.76%K -14.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-14 17:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%4.6%2026-05-14 21:50