Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida St Seminoles v Miami Hurricanes

Kickoff: 2026-05-15 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida St Seminoles (Local)

Prediction 59.25%1.69fair odd
EV -4.01%
Edge -2.48%
Kelly -6.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.03%59.25%58.90%60.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.581.571.6264.52%63.19%63.69%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Miami Hurricanes (Visit)

Prediction 40.75%2.45fair odd
EV -2.21%
Edge -0.920%
Kelly -1.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.85%40.75%41.10%41.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.242.302.302.4044.64%43.42%43.48%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Florida St Seminoles (Local): 59.25%; Miami Hurricanes (Visit): 40.75%. For Miami Hurricanes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.45. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.40, with an expected value of -2.21%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.06%E -2.17%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 18:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -8.73%E -3.90%K -7.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 13:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -8.73%E -3.90%K -7.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 13:50
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-15 16:40
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-15 13:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.19%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-15 16:44
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.79%E -3.64%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.21%E -0.920%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 16:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.79%E -3.64%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 16:40
FanDuel🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -6.38%E -4.04%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -4.65%E -1.99%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-15 16:40
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.25%E -1.81%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-15 16:35
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.25%E -1.81%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-15 17:10
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.32%E -3.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-15 07:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.32%E -3.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-15 07:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.32%E -3.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-15 07:29
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.32%E -3.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-15 18:39
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.56%E -4.85%K -13.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.25%E -1.81%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-15 16:38
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -8.16%E -5.26%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -5.47%E -2.36%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-15 16:45
Bally Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -8.16%E -5.26%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -5.47%E -2.36%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-15 16:45
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -8.16%E -5.26%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -5.47%E -2.36%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-15 16:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.