The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Florida St Seminoles v Jacksonville Dolphins

Kickoff: 2026-05-05 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida St Seminoles (Local)

Prediction 81.13%1.23fair odd
EV -5.08%
Edge -4.34%
Kelly -29.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.37%81.11%81.17%82.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.161.161.1787.72%86.38%86.21%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jacksonville Dolphins (Visit)

Prediction 18.87%5.30fair odd
EV -0.558%
Edge -0.106%
Kelly -0.131%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.78%18.89%18.83%19.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.754.985.005.2721.05%20.07%20.00%18.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Florida St Seminoles (Local): 81.13%; Jacksonville Dolphins (Visit): 18.87%. For Jacksonville Dolphins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.30. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.27, with an expected value of -0.558%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -5.08%E -4.34%K -29.87%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -1.88%E -0.361%K -0.447%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 16:15
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.08%E -4.34%K -29.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.65%E -1.13%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-05 20:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.08%E -4.34%K -29.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.65%E -1.13%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-05 20:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.08%E -4.34%K -29.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.65%E -1.13%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-05 19:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.08%E -4.34%K -29.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.65%E -1.13%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-05 16:59
DraftKings🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.89%E -5.08%K -36.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.65%E -1.13%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 15:50
BetMGM🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.89%E -5.08%K -36.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.65%E -1.13%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 15:55
BetRivers🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -5.89%E -5.08%K -36.80%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -10.37%E -2.18%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-05 17:45
Bally Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -5.89%E -5.08%K -36.80%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -10.37%E -2.18%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-05 17:45
betPARX🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -5.89%E -5.08%K -36.80%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -10.37%E -2.18%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-05 17:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.77%EV -6.70%E -5.83%K -44.67%G +0.000%5.16I 19.38%NM 18.23%EV -2.63%E -0.510%K -0.633%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-05 16:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.77%EV -6.70%E -5.83%K -44.67%G +0.000%5.16I 19.38%NM 18.23%EV -2.63%E -0.510%K -0.633%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-05 16:14
BetUS🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.70%E -5.83%K -44.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.65%E -1.13%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 16:20
Bovada🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.70%E -5.83%K -44.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.65%E -1.13%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 16:42
MyBookie.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -6.70%E -5.83%K -44.67%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -7.54%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-05 16:14
1xBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.22%EV -7.51%E -6.59%K -53.65%G +0.000%5.27I 18.98%NM 17.78%EV -0.558%E -0.106%K -0.131%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 20:40
Betway🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.65%EV -7.51%E -6.59%K -53.65%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -10.37%E -2.18%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-05 15:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.16I 86.21%NM 81.62%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.38%5.6%2026-05-05 21:50