The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Florida St Seminoles v Florida Gators

Kickoff: 2026-04-07 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida St Seminoles (Local)

Prediction 51.89%1.93fair odd
EV -4.51%
Edge -2.45%
Kelly -5.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.84

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.80%52.39%51.53%56.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.781.801.8459.88%56.18%55.56%54.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Florida Gators (Visit)

Prediction 48.11%2.08fair odd
EV +5.83%
Edge +2.65%
Kelly +4.86%
Growth +0.283%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.15%47.61%48.47%49.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.891.981.942.2052.91%50.55%51.55%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Florida St Seminoles (Local): 51.89%; Florida Gators (Visit): 48.11%. For Florida Gators (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.08. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.83%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -13.34%E -7.99%K -19.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +5.83%E +2.65%K +4.86%G +0.283%5.3%2026-04-07 22:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -13.34%E -7.99%K -19.90%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV +4.39%E +2.02%K +3.75%G +0.165%6.0%2026-04-07 22:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -13.34%E -7.99%K -19.90%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV +4.39%E +2.02%K +3.75%G +0.165%6.0%2026-04-07 22:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -10.74%E -6.24%K -14.92%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%EV -1.87%E -0.914%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-07 22:28
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.15%E -4.60%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-07 15:55
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.15%E -4.60%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-07 22:24
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.03%E -2.75%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.19%E -3.18%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-07 17:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.19%E -3.18%K -6.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-07 22:30
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -5.03%E -2.75%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -6.68%E -3.44%K -7.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 22:20
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.03%E -2.75%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.12%E -4.25%K -8.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 23:40
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.12%E -4.25%K -8.92%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 23:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.12%E -4.25%K -8.92%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-07 00:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.12%E -4.25%K -8.92%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-07 00:00
1xBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -4.51%E -2.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -8.60%E -4.53%K -9.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-07 16:10
betPARX🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%EV -5.55%E -3.05%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.06%EV -9.08%E -4.80%K -10.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-07 19:50
Bally Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%EV -5.55%E -3.05%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.06%EV -9.08%E -4.80%K -10.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-07 19:50
BetRivers🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%EV -5.55%E -3.05%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.06%EV -9.08%E -4.80%K -10.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-07 19:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.84I 54.35%NM 52.82%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.18%2.9%2026-04-07 21:44