Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida St Seminoles v Duke Blue Devils

Kickoff: 2026-03-27 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

77%

23%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida St Seminoles (Local)

Prediction 77.08%1.30fair odd

EV -3.65%

Edge -2.92%

Kelly -14.60%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

75.25%77.30%76.78%80.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.171.211.211.2585.47%82.71%82.30%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Duke Blue Devils (Visit)

Prediction 22.92%4.36fair odd

EV +12.53%

Edge +2.55%

Kelly +3.21%

Growth +0.402%

assuming max odds 4.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

19.24%22.70%23.22%24.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.754.204.004.9126.67%23.83%25.00%20.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Florida St Seminoles (Local): 77.08%; Duke Blue Devils (Visit): 22.92%. For Duke Blue Devils (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.36. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.91, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.53%.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 80.76%EV -9.82%E -8.39%K -57.74%G +0.000%	4.91I 20.37%NM 19.24%EV +12.53%E +2.55%K +3.21%G +0.402%	5.8%	2026-03-27 20:30
LowVig.ag🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 80.76%EV -9.82%E -8.39%K -57.74%G +0.000%	4.91I 20.37%NM 19.24%EV +12.53%E +2.55%K +3.21%G +0.402%	5.8%	2026-03-27 20:30
BetUS🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -9.82%E -8.39%K -57.74%G +0.000%	4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV +7.72%E +1.64%K +2.09%G +0.161%	6.7%	2026-03-27 20:30
888sport🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.50%E -6.25%K -37.51%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +3.14%E +0.697%K +0.896%G +0.028%	5.6%	2026-03-27 20:35
888sport (SE)🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.50%E -6.25%K -37.51%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +3.14%E +0.697%K +0.896%G +0.028%	5.6%	2026-03-27 20:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.50%E -6.25%K -37.51%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +3.14%E +0.697%K +0.896%G +0.028%	5.6%	2026-03-27 20:35
FanDuel🎯	1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -8.27%E -6.95%K -43.55%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV +3.14%E +0.697%K +0.896%G +0.028%	6.3%	2026-03-27 17:19
1xBet🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -9.04%E -7.66%K -50.25%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +3.14%E +0.697%K +0.896%G +0.028%	7.0%	2026-03-27 18:50
Caesars🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.96%E -4.89%K -27.10%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +0.844%E +0.192%K +0.248%G +0.002%	4.7%	2026-03-27 20:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.96%E -4.89%K -27.10%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-27 17:24
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.96%E -4.89%K -27.10%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-27 17:54
theScore Bet🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -6.73%E -5.56%K -32.06%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-03-27 17:25
BetRivers🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 75.94%EV -5.96%E -4.89%K -27.10%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -11.76%E -3.05%K -4.13%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-03-27 17:40
betPARX🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 75.94%EV -5.96%E -4.89%K -27.10%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -11.76%E -3.05%K -4.13%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-03-27 17:40
Bally Bet🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 75.94%EV -5.96%E -4.89%K -27.10%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -11.76%E -3.05%K -4.13%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-03-27 17:39
DraftKings🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.65%E -2.92%K -14.60%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.91%E -3.40%K -4.61%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-03-26 23:19
BetMGM🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.65%E -2.92%K -14.60%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.91%E -3.40%K -4.61%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-03-26 23:59
Bovada🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.42%E -3.56%K -18.42%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -12.91%E -3.40%K -4.61%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-27 15:22
Fliff🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 75.85%EV -6.73%E -5.56%K -32.06%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -12.91%E -3.40%K -4.61%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-03-27 17:54
Betway🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.96%E -4.89%K -27.10%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -14.05%E -3.75%K -5.11%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-03-27 15:20

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.86%	4.29I 23.31%NM 22.14%	5.3%	2026-03-27 21:14