Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida St Seminoles v Coastal Carolina Chanticleers

Kickoff: 2026-05-30 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida St Seminoles (Local)

Prediction 61.20%1.63fair odd
EV -2.70%
Edge -1.70%
Kelly -4.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.95%61.34%61.43%62.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.531.531.5968.03%65.29%65.36%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (Visit)

Prediction 38.80%2.58fair odd
EV -2.99%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -1.99%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.03%38.66%38.57%40.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.442.452.5042.55%40.96%40.82%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Florida St Seminoles (Local): 61.20%; Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (Visit): 38.80%. For Florida St Seminoles (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.63. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.59, with an expected value of -2.70%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -2.70%E -1.70%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -7.64%E -3.21%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 17:19
Pinnacle🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -3.31%E -2.10%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -7.26%E -3.04%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 16:00
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.54%E -2.91%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.99%E -1.20%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-30 17:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.54%E -2.91%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.87%E -2.86%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 17:00
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.54%E -2.91%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.87%E -2.86%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 11:50
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.54%E -2.91%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.87%E -2.86%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 17:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -4.54%E -2.91%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -7.26%E -3.04%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 17:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -4.54%E -2.91%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -7.26%E -3.04%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 17:40
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -5.76%E -3.74%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -5.32%E -2.18%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 17:20
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.37%E -4.16%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.93%E -2.01%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 14:28
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.37%E -4.16%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.93%E -2.01%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 14:39
Bovada🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.37%E -4.16%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.93%E -2.01%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 14:29
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.37%E -4.16%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.81%E -3.75%K -6.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-30 14:49
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.21%E -5.47%K -16.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.99%E -1.20%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-30 17:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.21%E -5.47%K -16.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.99%E -1.20%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-30 17:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.21%E -5.47%K -16.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.99%E -1.20%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-30 17:00
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -10.04%E -6.83%K -21.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -2.99%E -1.20%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-30 17:30
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -10.04%E -6.83%K -21.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -2.99%E -1.20%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-30 17:30
Bally Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -10.04%E -6.83%K -21.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -2.99%E -1.20%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-30 17:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%5.8%2026-05-30 17:20