Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida Gators v Vanderbilt Commodores

Kickoff: 2026-05-20 17:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida Gators (Local)

Prediction 64.95%1.54fair odd
EV -1.27%
Edge -0.835%
Kelly -2.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.84%65.08%64.80%67.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.451.441.5271.43%68.97%69.44%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Vanderbilt Commodores (Visit)

Prediction 35.05%2.85fair odd
EV +1.63%
Edge +0.562%
Kelly +0.858%
Growth +0.014%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.56%34.92%35.20%37.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.652.622.9039.22%37.71%38.17%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Florida Gators (Local): 64.95%; Vanderbilt Commodores (Visit): 35.05%. For Vanderbilt Commodores (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.85. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.63%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -9.06%E -6.47%K -22.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +1.63%E +0.562%K +0.858%G +0.014%5.9%2026-05-20 17:20
Caesars🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.82%E -4.01%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.87%E -0.669%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 16:50
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.87%EV -7.11%E -4.98%K -16.55%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.13%EV -3.28%E -1.19%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 17:30
DraftKings🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.82%E -4.01%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.38%E -1.99%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-20 16:50
BetUS🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -7.11%E -4.98%K -16.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -5.38%E -1.99%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-20 17:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.82%E -4.01%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.13%E -2.69%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 17:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.23%EV -4.52%E -3.07%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.77%EV -7.48%E -2.83%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-20 17:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.23%EV -4.52%E -3.07%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.77%EV -7.48%E -2.83%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-20 17:30
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.46%E -4.49%K -14.69%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.18%E -3.12%K -5.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-20 17:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.46%E -4.49%K -14.69%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.18%E -3.12%K -5.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-20 17:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.46%E -4.49%K -14.69%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.18%E -3.12%K -5.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-20 17:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.60%EV -7.11%E -4.98%K -16.55%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.40%EV -8.53%E -3.27%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-20 17:38
BetRivers🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.46%E -4.49%K -14.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.88%E -3.42%K -5.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-20 16:30
betPARX🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.46%E -4.49%K -14.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.88%E -3.42%K -5.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-20 16:30
Bally Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.46%E -4.49%K -14.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.88%E -3.42%K -5.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-20 16:30
1xBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -1.27%E -0.835%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -9.93%E -3.87%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 17:20
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -3.87%E -2.61%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -10.64%E -4.17%K -6.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-20 14:48
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -3.87%E -2.61%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -10.64%E -4.17%K -6.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-20 16:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%5.4%2026-05-20 17:40