Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida Gators v Troy Trojans

Kickoff: 2026-06-01 22:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

71%

29%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida Gators (Local)

Prediction 71.14%1.41fair odd

EV -3.25%

Edge -2.39%

Kelly -9.02%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

69.44%71.26%71.04%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.261.321.331.3679.37%75.88%75.19%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Troy Trojans (Visit)

Prediction 28.86%3.47fair odd

EV +1.00%

Edge +0.286%

Kelly +0.400%

Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

26.47%28.74%28.96%30.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.063.283.253.5032.68%30.48%30.77%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Florida Gators (Local): 71.14%; Troy Trojans (Visit): 28.86%. For Troy Trojans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.47. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
BetRivers🎯	1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -10.36%E -8.22%K -39.85%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV +1.00%E +0.286%K +0.400%G +0.004%	7.9%	2026-06-01 18:30
Bally Bet🎯	1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -10.36%E -8.22%K -39.85%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV +1.00%E +0.286%K +0.400%G +0.004%	7.9%	2026-06-01 18:30
betPARX🎯	1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -10.36%E -8.22%K -39.85%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV +1.00%E +0.286%K +0.400%G +0.004%	7.9%	2026-06-01 18:20
1xBet🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.38%EV -6.09%E -4.62%K -19.04%G +0.000%	3.46I 28.90%NM 27.62%EV -0.153%E -0.044%K -0.062%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-06-01 18:19
Caesars🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.38%E -4.05%K -16.30%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.88%E -0.554%K -0.785%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-06-01 13:40
FanDuel🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.51%E -5.78%K -25.05%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.88%E -0.554%K -0.785%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-06-01 10:39
theScore Bet🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.80%E -5.19%K -21.95%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -4.77%E -1.45%K -2.07%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-06-01 21:59
Bovada🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.80%E -5.19%K -21.95%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -4.77%E -1.45%K -2.07%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-06-01 21:50
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -5.38%E -4.05%K -16.30%G +0.000%	3.26I 30.67%NM 28.98%EV -5.92%E -1.82%K -2.62%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-06-01 16:39
BetMGM🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.38%E -4.05%K -16.30%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.21%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-06-01 12:30
Pinnacle🎯	1.34I 74.63%NM 70.68%EV -4.67%E -3.48%K -13.73%G +0.000%	3.23I 30.96%NM 29.32%EV -6.79%E -2.10%K -3.05%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-01 17:10
DraftKings🎯	1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.67%E -3.48%K -13.73%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.66%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-06-01 00:29
888sport🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.38%E -4.05%K -16.30%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.66%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-06-01 06:19
888sport (SE)🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.38%E -4.05%K -16.30%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.66%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-06-01 06:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.38%E -4.05%K -16.30%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.66%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-06-01 06:20
Betway🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.51%E -5.78%K -25.05%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.66%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-06-01 12:10
LowVig.ag🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.44%EV -3.25%E -2.39%K -9.02%G +0.000%	3.09I 32.36%NM 30.56%EV -10.83%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-06-01 21:59
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.44%EV -3.25%E -2.39%K -9.02%G +0.000%	3.09I 32.36%NM 30.56%EV -10.83%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-06-01 21:59
BetUS🎯	1.34I 74.63%NM 69.55%EV -4.67%E -3.48%K -13.73%G +0.000%	3.06I 32.68%NM 30.45%EV -11.70%E -3.82%K -5.68%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-06-01 21:29

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45%	3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%	2.2%	2026-06-01 21:59