Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.30
assuming max odds 4.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Florida Gators (Local): 75.12%; South Carolina Gamecocks (Visit): 24.88%. For South Carolina Gamecocks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.02. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.00, with an expected value of -0.473%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -2.35%E -1.80%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -15.40%E -4.53%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-13 16:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -3.10%E -2.40%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -15.40%E -4.53%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-13 16:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.70%EV -5.35%E -4.25%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.30%EV -7.44%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-13 20:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.35%E -4.25%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.43%E -2.90%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-13 17:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.10%E -4.88%K -24.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.69%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-13 17:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.10%E -4.88%K -24.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.69%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-13 17:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.10%E -4.88%K -24.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.69%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-13 17:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.10%E -4.88%K -24.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.69%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-13 20:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.65%EV -6.10%E -4.88%K -24.41%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.35%EV -8.44%E -2.29%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-13 20:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.10%E -4.88%K -24.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -12.91%E -3.69%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-13 16:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -6.85%E -5.53%K -28.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -2.96%E -0.759%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-13 19:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.85%E -5.53%K -28.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -6.69%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-13 19:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -6.85%E -5.53%K -28.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -7.94%E -2.15%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-13 16:58 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -6.85%E -5.53%K -28.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -7.94%E -2.15%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-13 17:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -6.85%E -5.53%K -28.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -7.94%E -2.15%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-13 17:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -7.60%E -6.18%K -33.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -0.473%E -0.118%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-13 20:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -8.36%E -6.85%K -37.98%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -2.96%E -0.759%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-13 20:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -8.36%E -6.85%K -37.98%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV -9.18%E -2.52%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-13 20:15 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05% | 5.1% | 2026-03-13 22:15 |