Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida Gators v Rider Broncs

Kickoff: 2026-05-29 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

82%

18%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida Gators (Local)

Prediction 82.28%1.22fair odd

EV -3.73%

Edge -3.19%

Kelly -21.94%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

80.56%82.24%82.71%84.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.111.141.141.1790.09%87.80%87.72%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rider Broncs (Visit)

Prediction 17.72%5.64fair odd

EV +6.30%

Edge +1.05%

Kelly +1.26%

Growth +0.079%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

15.61%17.76%17.29%19.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

4.755.415.506.0021.05%18.48%18.18%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Florida Gators (Local): 82.28%; Rider Broncs (Visit): 17.72%. For Rider Broncs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.64. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.30%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Bovada🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.67%E -7.81%K -78.78%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +6.30%E +1.05%K +1.26%G +0.079%	6.8%	2026-05-29 15:38
1xBet🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -6.20%E -5.44%K -44.27%G +0.000%	5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +2.76%E +0.476%K +0.575%G +0.016%	5.0%	2026-05-29 15:59
Bally Bet🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -8.67%E -7.81%K -78.78%G +0.000%	5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV +2.76%E +0.476%K +0.575%G +0.016%	7.3%	2026-05-29 15:30
betPARX🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -8.67%E -7.81%K -78.78%G +0.000%	5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV +2.76%E +0.476%K +0.575%G +0.016%	7.3%	2026-05-29 15:29
BetRivers🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -8.67%E -7.81%K -78.78%G +0.000%	5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV +2.76%E +0.476%K +0.575%G +0.016%	7.3%	2026-05-29 15:29
BetMGM🎯	1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -7.02%E -6.21%K -54.00%G +0.000%	5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV +1.87%E +0.326%K +0.394%G +0.007%	5.9%	2026-05-29 15:39
Caesars🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.37%E -4.67%K -35.83%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.56%E -0.465%K -0.568%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-05-29 15:19
DraftKings🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.20%E -5.44%K -44.27%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.56%E -0.465%K -0.568%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-05-26 23:00
888sport🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.20%E -5.44%K -44.27%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.56%E -0.465%K -0.568%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-05-28 16:29
888sport (SE)🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.20%E -5.44%K -44.27%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.56%E -0.465%K -0.568%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-05-28 16:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.20%E -5.44%K -44.27%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.56%E -0.465%K -0.568%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-05-28 16:30
theScore Bet🎯	1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -7.02%E -6.21%K -54.00%G +0.000%	5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -6.99%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-05-28 12:09
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -5.37%E -4.67%K -35.83%G +0.000%	5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -7.87%E -1.51%K -1.87%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-05-28 22:19
BetUS🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -5.37%E -4.67%K -35.83%G +0.000%	5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -9.64%E -1.89%K -2.35%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-05-29 15:19
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 80.76%EV -3.73%E -3.19%K -21.94%G +0.000%	4.91I 20.37%NM 19.24%EV -13.01%E -2.65%K -3.33%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-05-26 19:09
LowVig.ag🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 80.76%EV -3.73%E -3.19%K -21.94%G +0.000%	4.91I 20.37%NM 19.24%EV -13.01%E -2.65%K -3.33%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-05-26 20:05
Pinnacle🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -3.73%E -3.19%K -21.94%G +0.000%	4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -14.07%E -2.90%K -3.66%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-05-28 21:50
Betway🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 80.65%EV -6.20%E -5.44%K -44.27%G +0.000%	4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -15.84%E -3.34%K -4.22%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-05-29 07:19

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	1.10I 90.91%NM 82.70%	5.26I 19.01%NM 17.30%	9.9%	2026-05-29 16:50